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CSI 300 Index, Shanghai Composite Index enter bull market
More analysts are suggesting investors to pile into shares
A surge in equities is blunting the attraction of China’s world-leading bond rally, prompting analysts to recommend clients pile into stocks rather than debt. News that the U.S. will extend a tariff truce is likely to fuel that momentum. Continue reading →
Falling oil prices, trade wars, tax overhaul and more are among the culprits for fixed-income’s less-than-stellar one-year results.
In the past year, the 20 top-performing bond funds with at least $5 billion in AUM posted an average annual return of less than 3%, according to Morningstar Direct data. For comparison, a similar screen of funds posted an average return of 9.95% in 2017, 13.17% in 2016 and 3.79% in 2015.
The most direct reason for the low figures the past year: multiple interest-rate hikes from the Fed last year — in March, June, September and December — helped flatten the yield curve, says Morningstar senior analyst Emory Zink. Continue reading →
Until recently, investors enjoyed one of the longest bull markets of all time. However, rising volatility in stocks have sent many portfolios through sudden ups and downs, and created uncertainty about the future. Continue reading →
Fixed-income investors have not had to worry about liquidity for a decade. But as volatility surges in the stock and credit markets, liquidity is starting to dry up across segments of the corporate bond markets.
A severe liquidity crisis like 2008, when whole swaths of the credit markets shut down, may be unlikely, but there is concern that the post-financial-crisis bond market could be vulnerable in a period of sustained volatility.
The situation could be particularly acute for BBB-rated bonds, the lowest-rated bonds on the investment-grade spectrum. They now account for nearly half of the $5.8 trillion investment-grade market.
he fixed income era now ending could be summed up this way: much lower rates, but much greater size and complexity. A flood of issuance in credit and emerging market debt has greatly expanded the market. New cross-currents created by historic injections of central bank liquidity – as well as by demographics, technology, and regulation – have made it more complex. A transition is under way as monetary policy normalizes, liquidity ebbs, and bouts of volatility are roiling the market. The implications for fixed income investors are significant. Continue reading →
Oh told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” that investors should review their portfolios amid concern over higher rates globally and potential tightening from both the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) sometime in 2019 or 2020.
Oh believes that while markets will remain largely favorable in 2019, investors should be more cautious as “the U.S. is likely to end its tightening cycle towards the end of 2019.”
Italian bonds rallied on Wednesday, pushing two-year yields down as much as 23 basis points as markets shrugged off the European Commission’s rejection of Rome’s draft budget and focused on the possibility of compromise between the two sides.
Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini refuted a La Stampa newspaper report that he was open to reviewing the 2019 deficit of 2.4 percent of GDP, but said other aspects of the budget could be discussed.
Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte said he was worried about Italy’s bond spread over Germany and that the government would respond with reforms. Continue reading →
Amid a chorus of concerns over corporate debt, a key index for the high-yield bond market has turned negative this year, losing its status as one of the last corners of Wall Street to carry positive returns in 2018. Continue reading →
Record number of company credit ratings are on the cusp of ‘fallen angel’ downgrades
As benchmark interest rates in the U.S. rise and the pace of corporate earnings growth slows, Moody’s Investors Service warned Friday that an unprecedented number of corporate credit ratings could be added to the “junk” pile. Continue reading →
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